Project Overview
SBS Corporation has developed a new industrial detergent for motor vehicle garages. To commence production, the project requires an initial equipment investment of RM1.2 million and net operating working capital equal to 10% of the 1st-year sales amount, with subsequent years requiring 15% of the next year’s sales. The project is planned for a 5-year life cycle with operational continuity throughout.
Key Financial Details:
- Sales Projections:
- 150,000 units annually at RM10/unit in Year 1.
- Annual sales price increases by 2% after Year 1.
- Cost Structure:
- Variable Cost: RM4.50/unit, increasing by 5% annually.
- Fixed Costs: RM320,000 in Year 1, increasing by 3% annually.
- Depreciation:
- Equipment depreciated using the straight-line method over 5 years.
- Salvage value: RM120,000; estimated scrap value: RM80,000.
- Tax and Discount Rates:
- Corporate Tax Rate: 25%.
- Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC): 13%.
Tasks for Analysis:
1. Spreadsheet Model Development:
- Create a model to compute the project’s Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and Payback Period.
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2. Sensitivity Analysis:
- Examine NPV sensitivity to the following variables at ±10% of base values:
- Sales price
- Number of units sold
- Variable cost per unit
- Fixed costs
- Cost of capital
- Include a graph to visualize the results.
3. Scenario Analysis:
- Best-Case Scenario:
- No increase in sales price.
- 5% increase in units sold.
- 3% decrease in variable cost per unit.
- Worst-Case Scenario:
- 2% decrease in sales price.
- 5% decrease in units sold.
- 3% increase in variable cost per unit.
- Probabilities:
- Best case: 30%
- Worst case: 20%
- Base case: 50%
- Determine:
- Expected NPV
- Standard deviation of NPV
- Coefficient of variation (NPV).
4. Final Recommendation:
- Provide insights on project feasibility based on analysis results.
- Offer specific advice for SBS Corporation to mitigate risks and maximize profitability.
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